Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 8.259672 9.223463 10.311488 11.642921 13.245289 15.134041 17.563275
2025-01-05 6.602086 7.795325 9.264085 11.248700 13.933252 17.556765 23.048044
2025-01-12 5.622283 6.858885 8.462141 10.768361 14.141679 19.159752 27.809105
2025-01-19 4.995402 6.242718 7.924051 10.462853 14.418801 20.812301 33.215234
2025-01-26 4.603778 5.875150 7.648747 10.447378 15.075307 23.192235 41.040866
2025-02-02 4.511229 5.899136 7.915312 11.271512 17.254437 28.958763 59.870230
2025-02-09 4.351008 5.801444 7.978656 11.768184 18.978867 34.579943 84.322430
2025-02-16 4.115641 5.565242 7.793860 11.804215 19.829223 38.675261 109.909912
2025-02-23 3.980358 5.465819 7.810825 12.192512 21.491122 45.642617 161.139750
2025-03-02 3.706265 5.126836 7.398030 11.720370 21.166341 47.025834 188.838764
2025-03-09 3.491495 4.866255 7.093215 11.413430 21.154242 49.406130 231.950050
2025-03-16 3.337556 4.692058 6.919640 11.338924 21.680642 53.893697 315.029041
2025-03-23 3.246490 4.628919 6.959788 11.760922 23.741087 66.257137 641.064868
2025-03-30 3.039143 4.362276 6.619779 11.355046 23.554162 69.925302 954.694263
2025-04-06 2.842490 4.100158 6.264924 10.867864 23.017667 71.770280 1363.284510
2025-04-13 2.688423 3.900013 6.006806 10.558195 22.922877 75.944618 2406.809679
2025-04-20 2.585729 3.780556 5.887741 10.542510 23.719896 86.146748 9041.942150
2025-04-27 2.590173 3.845328 6.121171 11.377977 27.589567 123.978385 NaN
2025-05-04 2.553792 3.835083 6.207764 11.881677 30.639548 168.106948 NaN
2025-05-11 2.472772 3.739230 6.114662 11.918223 31.975630 202.396242 NaN
2025-05-18 2.430612 3.710915 6.155550 12.312124 35.014230 280.509680 NaN
2025-05-25 2.314091 3.539394 5.886903 11.833180 34.038735 286.766350 NaN
2025-06-01 2.219748 3.404759 5.687181 11.521888 33.756238 309.293637 NaN